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Transect-based monitoring has long been a valuable tool in ecosystem monitoring. These transects are often used to measure multiple ecosystem attributes. The line-point intercept (LPI), vegetation height, and canopy gap intercept methods comprise a set of core methods, which provide indicators of ecosystem condition. However, users struggle to design a sampling strategy that optimizes the ability to detect ecological change using transect-based methods. We assessed the sensitivity of these core methods on a one-hectare plot to transect length, number, and sampling interval to determine: 1) minimum sampling required to describe ecosystem characteristics and detect change for each method and 2) optimal transect length and number for all three methods to make recommendations for future analyses and monitoring efforts. We used data from 13 National Wind Erosion Research Network locations spanning the western US, which included 151 measurements over time across five biomes. We found that longer and increased numbers of transects were more important for reducing sampling error than increased sample intensity along transects. For all methods and indicators across plots, three 100-m transects reduced sampling error so that indicator estimates fall within an 95% confidence interval of +/- 5% for canopy gap intercept and LPI-total foliar cover, +/- 5 cm for height and +/- two species for LPI-species counts. For the same criteria at 80% confidence intervals, two 100-m transects are needed. Site-scale inference was strongly affected by sample design, consequently our understanding of ecological dynamics may be influenced by sampling decisions. 

Abstract Plant community assembly outcomes can be contingent upon establishment year (year effects) due to variations in the environment. Stochastic events such as interannual variability in climate, particularly in the first year of community assembly, contribute to unpredictable community outcomes over the short term, but less is known about whether year effects produce transient or persistent states on a decadal timescale. To test for short‐term (5‐year) and persistent (decadal) effects of establishment year climate on community assembly outcomes, we restored prairie in an agricultural field using the same methods in four different years (2010, 2012, 2014, and 2016) that captured a wide range of initial (planting) year climate conditions. Species composition was measured for 5 years in all four restored prairies and for 9 and 11 years in the two oldest restored prairies established under average precipitation and extreme drought conditions. The composition of the four assembled communities showed large and significant differences in the first year of restoration, followed by dynamic change over time along a similar trajectory due to a temporary flush of annual volunteer species. Sown perennial species eventually came to dominate all communities, but communities remained distinct from each other in year five. Precipitation in June and July of the establishment year explained short‐term coarse community metrics (i.e., species richness and grass/forb cover), with wet establishment years resulting in a higher cover of grasses and dry establishment years resulting in a higher cover of forbs in restored communities. Short‐term differences in community composition, species richness, and grass/forb cover in restorations established under average precipitation and drought conditions persisted for 9–11 years, with low interannual variability in the composition of each prairie over the long term, indicating persistently different states on a decadal timescale. Thus, year effects resulting from stochastic variation in climate can have decadal effects on community assembly outcomes.